Everton vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
9.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1985 |
TOT
1 - 2
EVE
52%
24%
23%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1985 |
SOU
1 - 2
EVE
47%
25%
27%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1985 |
EVE
2 - 0
ARS
62%
21%
17%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1985 |
FOR
0 - 2
EVE
17%
26%
57%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1985 |
ASV
1 - 1
EVE
39%
27%
34%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1985 |
SUN
0 - 3
LIV
26%
28%
46%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1985 |
SUN
0 - 2
CHL
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
NOR
1 - 0
SUN
58%
24%
18%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1985 |
NOR
1 - 3
SUN
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1985 |
SUN
1 - 1
WAT
42%
26%
33%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |