Everton vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
26.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1948 |
ASV
0 - 1
EVE
69%
16%
15%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1948 |
EVE
2 - 1
SHE
58%
20%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1948 |
MUD
2 - 0
EVE
75%
14%
10%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1948 |
EVE
2 - 0
HUR
64%
18%
19%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1948 |
ARS
5 - 0
EVE
73%
16%
11%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1948 |
SUN
0 - 0
PNE
53%
23%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1948 |
BUR
3 - 1
SUN
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1948 |
SUN
1 - 1
STO
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1948 |
CHA
4 - 0
SUN
55%
21%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1948 |
SUN
3 - 0
MAC
54%
23%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |