Everton vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.5%
11.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1932 |
BIR
4 - 0
EVE
47%
23%
30%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1931 |
EVE
5 - 0
BBU
70%
15%
15%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1931 |
BBU
5 - 3
EVE
60%
19%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1931 |
BOL
2 - 1
EVE
51%
22%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1931 |
EVE
5 - 1
MID
68%
16%
16%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1932 |
SUN
2 - 5
MAC
56%
20%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1932 |
SUN
0 - 0
DER
57%
19%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1931 |
DER
3 - 1
SUN
66%
17%
17%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1931 |
WHU
2 - 2
SUN
57%
20%
23%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1931 |
SUN
3 - 1
SHW
53%
20%
27%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |