Everton vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
26%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1930 |
HUR
1 - 2
EVE
54%
23%
24%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1930 |
EVE
3 - 2
SHE
53%
21%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1930 |
MUD
3 - 3
EVE
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1930 |
EVE
3 - 0
BUR
54%
20%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1930 |
EVE
2 - 4
GRI
69%
17%
15%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1930 |
SUN
2 - 4
SHW
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1930 |
ARS
0 - 1
SUN
57%
21%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1930 |
SUN
2 - 0
BIR
68%
18%
15%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1930 |
SUN
4 - 1
BOL
63%
19%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1930 |
LIV
0 - 6
SUN
57%
21%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |