Everton vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
25.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1927 |
DER
0 - 3
EVE
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1927 |
EVE
7 - 1
LEI
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1927 |
OPA
1 - 3
EVE
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1927 |
EVE
7 - 0
WHU
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1927 |
EVE
1 - 1
LIV
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1927 |
SUN
4 - 1
MUD
71%
16%
13%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1927 |
NEW
3 - 1
SUN
60%
20%
21%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1927 |
SUN
3 - 0
HUR
55%
21%
24%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1927 |
TOT
3 - 1
SUN
43%
24%
34%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1927 |
ASV
4 - 2
SUN
54%
21%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |