Everton vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
26.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1924 |
EVE
0 - 1
LIV
62%
22%
17%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1924 |
NOT
3 - 1
EVE
34%
30%
36%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1924 |
EVE
2 - 2
BOL
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1924 |
LEE
1 - 0
EVE
31%
30%
39%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1924 |
TOT
0 - 0
EVE
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1924 |
SUN
0 - 1
NOT
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1924 |
BUR
1 - 2
SUN
47%
23%
29%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1924 |
BOL
1 - 2
SUN
50%
23%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1924 |
SUN
4 - 1
TOT
65%
20%
16%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1924 |
WBA
2 - 1
SUN
44%
24%
32%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |