Everton vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1923 |
EVE
6 - 1
MAC
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1923 |
MAC
2 - 1
EVE
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1923 |
BIR
0 - 1
EVE
39%
28%
33%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1923 |
EVE
2 - 0
BIR
67%
19%
14%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1923 |
WBA
5 - 0
EVE
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1923 |
NEW
0 - 2
SUN
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1923 |
SUN
3 - 2
NEW
64%
21%
16%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1923 |
HUR
3 - 2
SUN
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1923 |
SUN
2 - 1
HUR
60%
21%
18%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1923 |
BBU
3 - 2
SUN
51%
23%
26%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |