Everton vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
25.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1921 |
EVE
1 - 0
BOL
50%
23%
27%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1921 |
SUN
1 - 2
EVE
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 1921 |
EVE
2 - 2
MAC
55%
23%
23%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1921 |
MAC
2 - 1
EVE
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1921 |
WBA
1 - 1
EVE
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1921 |
MAC
3 - 0
SUN
54%
22%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1921 |
SUN
1 - 2
EVE
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1921 |
SUN
5 - 0
WBA
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1921 |
WBA
2 - 1
SUN
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1921 |
SUN
4 - 1
CAR
77%
14%
9%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |