Everton vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
23.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1911 |
DER
5 - 0
EVE
38%
25%
37%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1911 |
EVE
1 - 0
SHE
64%
21%
16%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1911 |
BCF
0 - 0
EVE
44%
24%
33%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1911 |
EVE
2 - 1
LIV
68%
17%
15%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1911 |
MUD
2 - 2
EVE
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1911 |
SUN
4 - 0
MAC
72%
17%
12%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1911 |
NTT
1 - 3
SUN
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1911 |
SUN
2 - 2
BBU
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1911 |
SUN
4 - 1
BCF
76%
13%
10%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1911 |
SUN
2 - 2
ARS
80%
12%
8%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |