Everton vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1908 |
EVE
1 - 3
MUD
53%
23%
24%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1908 |
EVE
2 - 0
NEW
50%
24%
27%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1908 |
EVE
0 - 3
CHL
65%
20%
16%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1908 |
BIR
2 - 1
EVE
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1908 |
EVE
2 - 1
BOL
65%
19%
15%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1908 |
SUN
1 - 0
BIR
75%
14%
10%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1908 |
BOL
2 - 3
SUN
64%
18%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1908 |
SUN
4 - 0
BBU
73%
15%
12%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1908 |
MUD
3 - 0
SUN
68%
19%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1908 |
SUN
7 - 2
NTT
66%
18%
17%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |