Everton vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1981 |
MAC
3 - 1
EVE
64%
21%
16%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1981 |
EVE
4 - 1
MID
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1981 |
EVE
0 - 2
NOR
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1981 |
TOT
2 - 2
EVE
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1981 |
WBA
2 - 0
EVE
63%
22%
15%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1981 |
STO
1 - 1
ASV
33%
28%
39%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1981 |
COV
2 - 2
STO
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1981 |
STO
2 - 0
SUN
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1981 |
LIV
3 - 0
STO
79%
15%
7%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1981 |
STO
0 - 0
BIR
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |