Everton vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1976 |
LIV
1 - 0
EVE
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1976 |
IPS
1 - 0
EVE
64%
21%
16%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1976 |
EVE
1 - 3
LEE
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1976 |
EVE
0 - 2
QPR
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1976 |
LEI
1 - 0
EVE
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1976 |
STO
0 - 0
MAC
52%
25%
23%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1976 |
ASV
0 - 0
STO
41%
28%
32%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1976 |
DER
1 - 1
STO
71%
18%
12%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1976 |
STO
0 - 1
QPR
53%
24%
23%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1976 |
IPS
1 - 1
STO
60%
22%
17%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |