Everton vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
9.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1963 |
NTT
2 - 2
EVE
38%
25%
38%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1963 |
EVE
2 - 4
BBU
69%
17%
13%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1963 |
BPO
1 - 1
EVE
33%
25%
42%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1963 |
EVE
1 - 0
TOT
41%
22%
36%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1963 |
WHU
4 - 2
EVE
41%
24%
35%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1963 |
STO
4 - 4
SHW
33%
25%
42%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1963 |
IPS
0 - 2
STO
63%
19%
17%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1963 |
STO
4 - 4
BUR
28%
24%
48%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1963 |
STO
3 - 0
BOL
55%
21%
24%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1963 |
WBA
2 - 3
STO
73%
16%
11%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |