Everton vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1950 |
WBA
0 - 1
EVE
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1950 |
BUR
1 - 1
EVE
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1950 |
EVE
1 - 0
BUR
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1950 |
EVE
3 - 1
NEW
39%
25%
36%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1950 |
HUR
1 - 2
EVE
58%
21%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1950 |
DER
1 - 1
STO
72%
15%
12%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1950 |
STO
1 - 0
ARS
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1950 |
ARS
0 - 3
STO
79%
13%
8%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1950 |
STO
1 - 1
WBA
55%
23%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1950 |
NEW
3 - 1
STO
73%
15%
12%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |