Everton vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
19.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1948 |
EVE
0 - 5
BIR
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1948 |
EVE
0 - 5
OPA
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1948 |
MID
1 - 0
EVE
58%
20%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1948 |
OPA
4 - 0
EVE
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1948 |
EVE
3 - 3
NEW
74%
15%
11%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1948 |
STO
0 - 1
OPA
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1948 |
STO
1 - 0
ARS
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1948 |
MAC
0 - 0
STO
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1948 |
ARS
3 - 0
STO
71%
17%
12%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1948 |
STO
2 - 2
CHA
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |