Everton vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
13.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1936 |
CHL
4 - 0
EVE
48%
22%
30%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1936 |
EVE
4 - 0
OPA
69%
16%
15%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1936 |
MAC
4 - 1
EVE
55%
20%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1936 |
EVE
4 - 2
WBA
63%
18%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1936 |
MID
2 - 0
EVE
51%
21%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1936 |
STO
1 - 1
HUR
47%
23%
30%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1936 |
SUN
3 - 0
STO
77%
13%
10%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1936 |
STO
2 - 1
WOL
53%
22%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1936 |
DER
2 - 2
STO
67%
17%
15%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1936 |
STO
3 - 0
MUD
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |