Everton vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.2%
14.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1935 |
OPA
5 - 1
EVE
48%
23%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1935 |
LIV
2 - 1
EVE
64%
17%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1935 |
EVE
0 - 2
ARS
52%
21%
27%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1935 |
WBA
0 - 1
EVE
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1935 |
EVE
4 - 4
LEE
69%
17%
15%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1935 |
STO
3 - 0
LEI
52%
22%
26%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1935 |
SUN
4 - 1
STO
68%
18%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1935 |
STO
0 - 1
CHL
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1935 |
ASV
4 - 1
STO
71%
16%
13%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1935 |
STO
1 - 2
OPA
49%
24%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |