Everton vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
9.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1923 |
HUR
1 - 0
EVE
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1923 |
EVE
3 - 1
TOT
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1922 |
EVE
0 - 3
HUR
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1922 |
MAC
2 - 1
EVE
62%
21%
18%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1922 |
EVE
0 - 0
MAC
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1923 |
STO
1 - 0
ARS
31%
25%
44%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1923 |
SUN
2 - 0
STO
72%
16%
12%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1922 |
ARS
3 - 0
STO
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1922 |
STO
1 - 2
SUN
28%
27%
45%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1922 |
STO
0 - 0
MID
28%
27%
46%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +1 |