Everton vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1907 |
EVE
4 - 0
CRY
86%
9%
5%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1907 |
CRY
1 - 1
EVE
29%
24%
47%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1907 |
SHE
4 - 1
EVE
45%
25%
30%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1907 |
EVE
1 - 0
BOL
69%
18%
13%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1907 |
BOL
0 - 3
EVE
50%
22%
28%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1907 |
STO
1 - 1
LIV
37%
24%
39%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1907 |
STO
3 - 0
BIR
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1907 |
SUN
3 - 1
STO
76%
15%
10%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1907 |
DER
2 - 1
STO
60%
21%
19%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1907 |
MUD
4 - 1
STO
71%
17%
13%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |