Everton vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
CRY
0 - 0
EVE
34%
26%
40%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
WAT
1 - 1
EVE
28%
26%
46%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MUD
1 - 0
EVE
44%
26%
30%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
EVE
0 - 2
ARS
32%
24%
43%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
EVE
2 - 0
CHL
30%
25%
45%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
SOU
3 - 1
NEW
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
LEI
1 - 0
SOU
52%
25%
23%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SOU
3 - 2
LIV
42%
25%
33%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
STO
1 - 2
SOU
44%
27%
29%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 1
SUN
62%
21%
17%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |