Everton vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1996 |
EVE
1 - 1
COV
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1996 |
NTT
0 - 1
EVE
41%
27%
33%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
EVE
2 - 1
WHU
66%
21%
13%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
EVE
2 - 0
SHW
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1996 |
YOR
3 - 2
EVE
12%
21%
67%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1996 |
LIN
1 - 3
SOU
14%
22%
65%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1996 |
SHW
1 - 1
SOU
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
SOU
6 - 3
MUD
17%
22%
60%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1996 |
SOU
2 - 2
LIN
83%
12%
5%
|
77 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
SOU
3 - 0
SUN
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |