Everton vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
10.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1988 |
ARS
3 - 1
EVE
44%
28%
28%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1988 |
EVE
0 - 1
LIV
49%
27%
25%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1988 |
EVE
2 - 0
QPR
73%
18%
9%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1988 |
EVE
2 - 1
MID
80%
14%
5%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1988 |
EVE
0 - 1
ARS
64%
22%
14%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1988 |
SOU
1 - 1
NTT
41%
26%
33%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1988 |
SHW
2 - 1
SOU
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1988 |
LUT
2 - 1
SOU
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1988 |
SOU
0 - 0
NOR
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1988 |
MUD
0 - 2
SOU
63%
22%
15%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |