Everton vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1980 |
TOT
3 - 0
EVE
52%
26%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1980 |
WHU
2 - 1
EVE
46%
27%
27%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1980 |
EVE
1 - 1
WHU
69%
20%
12%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1980 |
EVE
3 - 1
BOL
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1980 |
MAC
1 - 1
EVE
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1980 |
SOU
0 - 1
IPS
46%
25%
28%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1980 |
STO
1 - 2
SOU
45%
28%
27%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1980 |
SOU
0 - 3
WOL
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1980 |
ARS
1 - 1
SOU
62%
23%
15%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1980 |
SOU
2 - 0
NOR
64%
20%
15%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |