Everton vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1974 |
EVE
1 - 0
MUD
50%
25%
25%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1974 |
LIV
0 - 0
EVE
68%
20%
12%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1974 |
MUD
3 - 0
EVE
49%
26%
25%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1974 |
EVE
4 - 1
NOR
63%
23%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1974 |
NEW
2 - 1
EVE
56%
25%
20%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1974 |
BUR
3 - 0
SOU
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1974 |
SOU
1 - 1
MUD
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1974 |
SOU
1 - 1
WHU
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1974 |
TOT
3 - 1
SOU
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1974 |
WHU
4 - 1
SOU
66%
19%
16%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |