Everton vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1967 |
LEI
0 - 2
EVE
55%
24%
22%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1967 |
LIV
1 - 0
EVE
61%
22%
17%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1967 |
EVE
0 - 1
LEE
53%
25%
21%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1967 |
FUL
2 - 1
EVE
46%
25%
29%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1967 |
EVE
2 - 0
WHU
57%
22%
21%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1967 |
SOU
2 - 1
NTT
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1967 |
STO
3 - 2
SOU
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1967 |
SOU
1 - 0
LIV
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1967 |
SOU
1 - 1
LEE
51%
25%
25%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1967 |
COV
2 - 1
SOU
51%
22%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |