Everton vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
EVE
3 - 1
OLD
77%
16%
8%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
NOR
2 - 1
EVE
29%
26%
46%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
OLD
2 - 2
EVE
17%
26%
57%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
MUD
2 - 0
EVE
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
EVE
3 - 3
ASV
61%
21%
17%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
REA
0 - 3
WIG
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2013 |
MUD
2 - 1
REA
87%
10%
3%
|
79 | 94 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
STO
2 - 1
REA
55%
24%
22%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
REA
2 - 1
SUN
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
REA
2 - 2
CHL
18%
22%
61%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |