Everton vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
EVE
2 - 0
SUN
69%
19%
13%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
CHL
1 - 1
EVE
72%
18%
11%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
BOL
2 - 0
EVE
33%
27%
40%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
EVE
5 - 3
BPO
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
ARS
2 - 1
EVE
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
CRY
3 - 3
REA
23%
27%
49%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2011 |
REA
2 - 1
MIL
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
REA
1 - 1
WAT
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2011 |
SHE
1 - 1
REA
28%
27%
45%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
NOR
2 - 1
REA
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |