Everton vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
10.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1946 |
EVE
3 - 2
ARS
65%
18%
17%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1946 |
BBU
4 - 1
EVE
41%
24%
35%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1946 |
ASV
0 - 1
EVE
53%
21%
26%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1946 |
EVE
0 - 2
BRE
76%
14%
11%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1939 |
BBU
2 - 2
EVE
41%
23%
36%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1946 |
OPA
0 - 1
BPO
48%
25%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1946 |
BOL
1 - 0
OPA
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1946 |
DER
2 - 0
OPA
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1946 |
OPA
3 - 1
BBU
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1939 |
BOL
2 - 1
OPA
56%
22%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |