Everton vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
15%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15%
12.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1938 |
ARS
1 - 2
EVE
61%
19%
19%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1938 |
ASV
0 - 3
EVE
50%
22%
28%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1938 |
EVE
2 - 1
BRE
68%
17%
16%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1938 |
EVE
3 - 0
GRI
69%
16%
15%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1938 |
BPO
0 - 2
EVE
48%
23%
29%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1938 |
OPA
4 - 0
HUR
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1938 |
GRI
2 - 1
OPA
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1938 |
OPA
2 - 1
BOL
57%
22%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1938 |
OPA
1 - 0
BPO
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1938 |
ARS
2 - 0
OPA
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |