Everton vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
17.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1930 |
EVE
4 - 0
DER
52%
22%
26%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1930 |
EVE
3 - 3
LIV
51%
22%
27%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1929 |
BOL
5 - 0
EVE
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1929 |
SHW
4 - 0
EVE
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1929 |
EVE
1 - 4
SHW
51%
22%
27%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1930 |
SUN
1 - 1
OPA
66%
18%
16%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1930 |
OPA
7 - 1
BUR
43%
23%
35%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1929 |
SHW
1 - 1
OPA
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1929 |
ARS
1 - 2
OPA
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1929 |
OPA
0 - 1
ARS
46%
23%
31%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |