FA Cup 1/16
Global 3-4
Everton vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
5.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1996 |
ARS
1 - 2
EVE
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1996 |
STO
2 - 3
EVE
19%
26%
56%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1996 |
EVE
1 - 1
CHL
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1996 |
EVE
2 - 2
STO
82%
13%
5%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1996 |
WIM
2 - 3
EVE
44%
28%
29%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1996 |
POR
1 - 1
DER
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1996 |
POR
4 - 3
CRY
32%
26%
43%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1996 |
MIL
1 - 2
POR
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1996 |
CRY
0 - 0
POR
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1996 |
IPS
5 - 1
POR
61%
21%
17%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |