EFL Cup 1/32
Global 1-2
Everton vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
EVE
1 - 0
WHU
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1999 |
OXF
1 - 1
EVE
19%
23%
58%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
SHW
0 - 2
EVE
45%
26%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
DER
1 - 0
EVE
51%
24%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
EVE
4 - 0
WIM
54%
24%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1999 |
OXF
1 - 1
EVE
19%
23%
58%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1999 |
OXF
1 - 0
SOU
71%
17%
12%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1999 |
SOU
0 - 2
OXF
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
OXF
5 - 0
STO
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
BRA
0 - 0
OXF
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |