FA Cup Last 16
Global 5-3
Everton vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
7.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
NOR
2 - 1
EVE
29%
26%
46%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
OLD
2 - 2
EVE
17%
26%
57%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
MUD
2 - 0
EVE
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
EVE
3 - 3
ASV
61%
21%
17%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
EVE
2 - 1
WBA
63%
21%
16%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
OLD
1 - 0
OPA
61%
23%
17%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
STE
1 - 2
OLD
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
OLD
2 - 2
EVE
17%
26%
57%
|
55 | 88 | 33 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
OLD
3 - 1
MKD
23%
26%
51%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
WAL
3 - 1
OLD
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |