Everton vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1925 |
BCF
1 - 0
EVE
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1925 |
EVE
3 - 1
NTT
75%
15%
10%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1925 |
EVE
1 - 2
CAR
56%
23%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1925 |
SUN
4 - 1
EVE
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1925 |
LIV
3 - 1
EVE
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1925 |
NOT
2 - 1
ARS
46%
27%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1925 |
MAC
2 - 1
NOT
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1925 |
NOT
1 - 1
BCF
48%
27%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1925 |
CAR
1 - 1
NOT
63%
22%
16%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1925 |
NOT
4 - 1
SUN
33%
26%
40%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |