Everton vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1919 |
BOL
0 - 2
EVE
55%
23%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1919 |
EVE
3 - 3
BOL
61%
20%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1919 |
BRA
3 - 3
EVE
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1919 |
EVE
4 - 1
BRA
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1919 |
BBU
3 - 2
EVE
68%
18%
14%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1919 |
NOT
2 - 2
ARS
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1919 |
ARS
3 - 1
NOT
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1919 |
NOT
2 - 2
SUN
33%
25%
42%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1919 |
SUN
3 - 1
NOT
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1919 |
NOT
2 - 0
WBA
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |