Everton vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
12%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1915 |
EVE
3 - 4
OLD
57%
23%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1915 |
BBU
2 - 1
EVE
72%
17%
12%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1915 |
BRA
0 - 2
EVE
57%
23%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1915 |
MUD
1 - 2
EVE
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1915 |
ASV
1 - 5
EVE
70%
18%
13%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1915 |
NOT
0 - 0
BOL
44%
24%
31%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1915 |
NOT
1 - 1
WBA
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1915 |
SHW
0 - 0
NOT
76%
14%
9%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1915 |
NOT
2 - 1
SUN
29%
24%
47%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1915 |
MAC
0 - 0
NOT
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |