Everton vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1912 |
SUN
4 - 0
EVE
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1912 |
NOT
0 - 1
EVE
47%
26%
28%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1912 |
EVE
1 - 0
ARS
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1912 |
EVE
1 - 0
PNE
76%
15%
9%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1912 |
MAC
4 - 0
EVE
45%
24%
30%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1912 |
NOT
1 - 1
OLD
56%
22%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1912 |
NOT
0 - 1
EVE
47%
26%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1912 |
SHE
1 - 3
NOT
73%
16%
11%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1912 |
NOT
1 - 4
NEW
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1912 |
ASV
5 - 1
NOT
78%
14%
9%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |