Everton vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
8.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1909 |
PNE
0 - 1
EVE
40%
26%
34%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1909 |
EVE
1 - 4
NEW
58%
22%
21%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1909 |
EVE
4 - 2
TOT
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1909 |
EVE
1 - 1
SHW
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1909 |
URU
1 - 2
EVE
28%
23%
49%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1909 |
NOT
1 - 1
SUN
40%
23%
37%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1909 |
MUD
2 - 1
NOT
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1909 |
NTT
2 - 1
NOT
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1909 |
CHL
2 - 2
NOT
70%
17%
12%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1909 |
BRA
2 - 2
NOT
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |