Everton vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.6%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.9%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.2%
5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1906 |
NEW
1 - 0
EVE
63%
20%
17%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1906 |
EVE
1 - 0
PNE
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1906 |
EVE
9 - 1
MAC
61%
20%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1906 |
MID
2 - 2
EVE
38%
24%
39%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1906 |
EVE
4 - 1
NTT
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1906 |
NOT
2 - 2
STO
59%
20%
20%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1906 |
MUD
0 - 0
NOT
78%
13%
9%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1906 |
NOT
0 - 0
BOL
43%
22%
35%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1906 |
ASV
2 - 1
NOT
85%
9%
5%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1906 |
WOL
6 - 1
NOT
51%
22%
27%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |