Everton vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1990 |
ARS
1 - 0
EVE
54%
25%
21%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1990 |
EVE
3 - 1
NOR
61%
23%
16%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1990 |
MIL
1 - 2
EVE
31%
28%
40%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1990 |
EVE
4 - 0
CRY
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1990 |
MUD
0 - 0
EVE
45%
28%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1990 |
NTT
0 - 1
WIM
62%
22%
16%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1990 |
QPR
2 - 0
NTT
38%
27%
35%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1990 |
CHA
1 - 1
NTT
23%
27%
51%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1990 |
NTT
2 - 4
COV
67%
21%
13%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1990 |
ARS
3 - 0
NTT
46%
26%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |