Everton vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
12.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1964 |
STO
0 - 2
EVE
37%
24%
39%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1964 |
EVE
2 - 0
WHU
70%
16%
13%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1964 |
CHL
1 - 0
EVE
40%
24%
36%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1964 |
EVE
3 - 3
WOL
63%
18%
19%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1964 |
STO
3 - 2
EVE
32%
25%
43%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1964 |
NTT
4 - 3
BIR
58%
21%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1964 |
MUD
3 - 1
NTT
67%
17%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1964 |
NTT
1 - 3
BUR
40%
24%
36%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1964 |
WBA
2 - 3
NTT
65%
19%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1964 |
NTT
4 - 0
BIR
57%
21%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |