Everton vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
9.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1925 |
EVE
1 - 2
CAR
56%
23%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1925 |
SUN
4 - 1
EVE
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1925 |
LIV
3 - 1
EVE
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1925 |
BOL
1 - 0
EVE
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1925 |
EVE
1 - 0
TOT
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1925 |
NTT
2 - 3
SHE
29%
28%
43%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1925 |
NEW
4 - 1
NTT
66%
19%
15%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1925 |
NTT
0 - 1
LIV
29%
31%
40%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1925 |
NTT
0 - 0
NOT
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1925 |
BCF
3 - 0
NTT
57%
24%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |