Everton vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
12.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1923 |
PNE
2 - 2
EVE
49%
25%
25%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1923 |
EVE
1 - 0
PNE
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1923 |
ASV
3 - 0
EVE
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1923 |
SHE
0 - 1
EVE
54%
24%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1923 |
EVE
2 - 1
ASV
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1923 |
CAR
3 - 1
NTT
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1923 |
NTT
2 - 0
MAC
35%
29%
37%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1923 |
MAC
1 - 1
NTT
69%
18%
13%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1923 |
NTT
0 - 1
STO
49%
25%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1923 |
MID
4 - 0
NTT
75%
15%
9%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |