Everton vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1922 |
NTT
2 - 1
EVE
38%
29%
33%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1922 |
EVE
0 - 1
LIV
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1922 |
LIV
5 - 1
EVE
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1922 |
EVE
3 - 1
CAR
67%
18%
15%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1922 |
CAR
0 - 2
EVE
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1922 |
NTT
2 - 1
EVE
38%
29%
33%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1922 |
PNE
2 - 2
NTT
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1922 |
NTT
3 - 0
PNE
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1922 |
NTT
1 - 1
BOL
29%
27%
44%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1922 |
SHE
0 - 0
NTT
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |