Everton vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
9.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1911 |
MAC
2 - 1
EVE
50%
23%
27%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1911 |
BBU
0 - 1
EVE
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1911 |
ASV
2 - 1
EVE
75%
15%
10%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1911 |
EVE
0 - 0
BRA
63%
21%
17%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1911 |
ARS
1 - 0
EVE
34%
26%
40%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1911 |
NTT
0 - 1
SHW
46%
23%
31%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1911 |
NTT
0 - 1
NEW
34%
25%
41%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1911 |
BBU
4 - 1
NTT
73%
15%
12%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1911 |
NTT
0 - 0
MAC
58%
21%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1911 |
OLD
2 - 0
NTT
55%
21%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |