Everton vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
11%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1910 |
BAR
3 - 0
EVE
25%
24%
51%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1910 |
EVE
3 - 0
BCF
67%
18%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1910 |
BAR
0 - 0
EVE
25%
24%
51%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1910 |
EVE
2 - 2
CHL
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1910 |
EVE
0 - 0
ASV
53%
22%
24%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1910 |
NTT
1 - 3
SUN
44%
23%
34%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1910 |
NTT
0 - 0
PNE
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1910 |
NTT
0 - 1
MID
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1910 |
BBU
2 - 2
NTT
67%
17%
15%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1910 |
NTT
0 - 0
CHL
63%
19%
18%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |