Everton vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
11.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1907 |
CHL
2 - 1
EVE
42%
24%
35%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1907 |
EVE
2 - 1
SHE
68%
18%
14%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1907 |
MID
0 - 2
EVE
41%
25%
34%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1907 |
EVE
2 - 4
LIV
69%
18%
13%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1907 |
ASV
0 - 2
EVE
59%
20%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1907 |
NTT
1 - 1
BIR
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1907 |
BOL
1 - 0
NTT
69%
17%
15%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1907 |
NTT
3 - 2
BBU
65%
19%
16%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1907 |
MUD
4 - 0
NTT
62%
21%
18%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1907 |
NEW
3 - 0
NTT
70%
18%
13%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |