Everton vs Norwich City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
ARS
2 - 1
EVE
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
EVE
0 - 3
MUD
34%
26%
41%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
EVE
1 - 1
LIV
46%
25%
29%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
WBA
2 - 3
EVE
33%
26%
41%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
REA
1 - 2
EVE
24%
25%
51%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
NOR
0 - 1
WBA
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
NEW
6 - 2
NOR
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
NOR
1 - 2
LEI
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
WHU
2 - 2
NOR
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
NOR
3 - 0
WBA
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |