Everton vs Norwich City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
15%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1982 |
NOT
1 - 0
EVE
39%
28%
34%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1982 |
MUD
2 - 1
EVE
60%
24%
17%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1982 |
EVE
3 - 1
TOT
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1982 |
EVE
5 - 0
ASV
47%
26%
28%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1982 |
WAT
2 - 0
EVE
42%
27%
31%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1982 |
NOR
1 - 1
SOU
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1982 |
NOR
5 - 1
BIR
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1982 |
SWA
4 - 0
NOR
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1982 |
ARS
1 - 1
NOR
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1982 |
NOR
1 - 2
MAC
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |