Everton vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
8.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1965 |
EVE
1 - 0
ARS
62%
19%
19%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1965 |
FUL
1 - 1
EVE
35%
24%
41%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1965 |
WOL
2 - 4
EVE
38%
24%
38%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1965 |
EVE
2 - 0
FUL
72%
17%
12%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1965 |
EVE
2 - 1
LIV
57%
22%
21%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1965 |
NOR
1 - 1
OPA
55%
22%
23%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1965 |
NOR
3 - 1
PLY
54%
22%
24%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1965 |
PLY
5 - 2
NOR
41%
26%
34%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1965 |
BCF
1 - 4
NOR
45%
25%
31%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1965 |
NOR
2 - 2
DER
49%
23%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |